Nigeria ساعت country, which was once cited as one example of the democratization of African oil giant, the eighth in the world and the largest exporter of oil in Africa, was the epicenter of separatist violence and "cocktail of instability" which mixed political crisis and religious conflict. Now the situation has gone so far that some local experts rightly worry if suddenly ساعت the situation is completely out of control of the Nigerian government, it could destabilize ساعت the entire African continent.
Niger River Delta, known as a region of Nigeria, which is rich in oil, but its people mired in a state of poverty, and the last few weeks the situation is becoming more and more tense. So in January the rebels blew up an oil pipeline, and kidnapped four foreign workers in the oil company Shell, which had to bathe in the rebels. The bank, which is located in the Italian company AGIP in Port Harcourt, was attacked using heavy weapons, which caused the death of several policemen. Oil wells in the sea was also taken by storm, and four Nigerian soldiers during this assault on the rebels, parted with life.
In fact, violence is not something new especially for Nigeria. But today it is massive and takes on new meaning, which threatens the integrity of the West African country. It must be admitted that the attacks ساعت on the property of oil companies and their employees are frequent in Nigeria. Previously, they were seen more as an attempt to local people such unlawful manner induce the oil to job creation or deployment of new projects in their area of residence. However, recent developments are very concerned about the international community, especially the United States. Since, moreover, that the political ساعت and economic stability in Nigeria is based on oil, what happens in the Niger Delta, now also combined with the growth of separatist movements.
The present Nigeria has become synonymous with corruption, mismanagement and wasted opportunities. But anger and resistance has objective reasons in the region of Nigeria. Population living in the territory of the delta, feels deprived and excluded from participation redistribution of wealth that brings foreign companies the land. And for many years living near oil wells they realized - profits ساعت are others, but only gets them unsuitable for normal zone, damaged and contaminated waste oil. However, official Lagos does not want to recognize that economic backwardness is the first cause of instability, which reigns in Nigeria.
While on the horizon there is another political cause instability which is realistic in the future could push the country into a genuine ساعت civil war. The fact that shortly expire in power Olusegun Obasanjo ساعت president. The President does not preclude change Nigerian constitution so that he could get a third mandate governing the presidential election of 2007. Thus blocking the path to power a candidate from the North. The current president of Nigeria, which comes from the southern part of the country, provoking an old dispute concerning the alternation of power between the Muslim North and Christian ساعت South. Religious and ethnic feelings of a population, coming into conflict with the rest of the senses, it is able to provoke a political crisis that threatens the fragile national equilibrium that existed ساعت before that time.
These disorders appear suddenly in Nigeria at a time when the African continent, and so there is tension. Upcoming important elections, scheduled for 2006 and the following year in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, Ivory Coast and Nigeria will determine which path to choose for themselves these states - democracy or dictatorship. New political and economic disturbances in Nigeria can cause a blow, which will have long-term consequences for the entire African continent. Also, do not forget to that of Nigeria - this oil giant that has, unfortunately, a sufficient margin of safety.
American intelligence agencies do not rule out that if separatist and centrifugal tendencies in Nigeria to progress further, it is impossible to exclude the probability of collapse of the Nigerian federal ساعت state. This collapse can be a great risk, which can affect the entire continent and have large negative effects on the part of Africa south of the Sahara desert. Today the likelihood that these risks have a chance ساعت konkretyzuvatysya, unfortunately, is quite significant.
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